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Probability Weather Forecasts

Name: Probability Weather Forecasts
Brand: Biblioscholar
SKU: 08126352
Price: 18.42 EUR
Availability: InStock
Author: Arthur C Kyle
ISBN: 9781249284826

For the Army?

Arthur C Kyle

Language

English

Book Paperback

Libristo code: 08126352

Publishers Biblioscholar, August 2012

The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However,... Full description

Libristo code: 08126352

45 b

18.42 €

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The United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However, this forecast form limits the useful information that can be communicated to the decision maker. This study investigates the utility of replacing categorical forecasts with probability forecasts in order to enhance decision making by Army commanders. To this end, the advantages and limitations of probability forecasts are reviewed. The principal conclusion of this study is that Army commanders would benefit from receiving probability weather forecasts. Finally, several recommendations for smoothing the conversion are given and a briefing that a Staff Weather Officer can use as a basis for showing an Army commander the utility of probability forecasts is provided.