Livraison gratuite à partir de 69.99 euros.

Vérifier l'état de la commande

Accédez à une communauté d'amateurs de livres à travers le monde et bénéficiez d’une panoplie d'avantages. Créer un compte gratuitement

Livraison gratuite avec Zásilkovna à partir de 69.99 €

Coursier DPD 5.99 € Point Bpost 7.99 € Bpost 7.49 € Point DPD 3.49 € Service de messagerie GLS 4.99 €

Contact

Comment faire ses achats

Assistance

Mon compte

▸ Vide :-(

Livraison gratuite à partir de 69.99 euros.

EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE

Name: EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE
Brand: Orion
SKU: 38400937
Price: 27.61 EUR
Availability: InStock
Author: TOM CHIVERS
ISBN: 9781399604031

TOM CHIVERS

Langue

Anglais

Livre Livre relié

Code Libristo: 38400937

Éditeurs Orion, février 2024

SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024 'Fascinating, witty and perspectiv... Description détaillée

Code Libristo: 38400937

67 b

27.61 €

50% de chance Nous cherchons dans le monde Quand vais-je recevoir mon livre ?

Jusqu'à 30 jours pour les retours

Les clients ont également acheté

The Nature of Our Cities Nadina Galle

Livre relié

23.15 €

Heat, a History – Lessons from the Middle East for a Warming Planet On Barak

Livre de poche

35.50 €

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics: From Air Pollut ion to Climate Change, Third Edition John H. Seinfeld

Livre relié

150.01 €

Waking the Giant Bill McGuire

Livre de poche

16.98 €

Great Goddesses Nikita Gill

Livre de poche

14.25 €

Ignorance – A Global History Peter Burke

Livre de poche

14.35 €

The Comfort Crisis Michael Easter

Livre relié

22.55 €

All the President's Men Bob Woodward

Livre de poche

10.41 €

Dictionary of Obscure Sorrows John Koenig

Livre relié

17.39 €

Noise of Time Julian Barnes

Livre de poche

19.21 €

Healing the Shame That Binds You John Bradshaw

Livre relié

39.54 €

House of Belonging David Whyte

Livre de poche

14.25 €

The Elements of Eloquence Mark Forsyth

Livre de poche

16.48 €

Chain of Command Seymour M. Hersh

Livre de poche

16.38 €

Elementary Forms of the Religious Life (Unabridged) Émile Durkheim

Livre relié

34.99 €

One of Us Asne Seierstad

Livre de poche

17.79 €

Sovereignty of Good Iris Murdoch

Livre de poche

39.95 €

Manufacturing Consent Noam Chomsky

Livre de poche

19.41 €

Waiting for Godot Samuel Beckett

Livre de poche

12.84 €

Out Of The Shadows:understanding Sexual Addiction Patrick Carnes

Livre de poche

14.25 €

SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024

'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting' Oliver Burkeman
'A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem' Will Storr
'Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you' Tim Harford

Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear.

Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain.

Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.